By Greg Huff -- "Fantasy Fishing Insider" podcast host
"You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows."
-- Bob Dylan, "Subterranean Homesick Blues"
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| Steve Carrell played a weatherman in "Anchorman." |
Obviously, Bob Dylan never fished a bass tournament.
If he had, he certainly never would have penned the above line. For tournament fishermen, a good weatherman -- one who can forecast weather events accurately -- is an absolute necessity. It's also a boon for fantasy fishing players.
So it helps to consult a bonafide meteorologist before you lock your fantasy fishing roster -- and one that's a bass fisherman to boot. Someone like "Fantasy Fishing Insider" podcast's resident weatherman, Tony Barlow, formerly a meteorologist at KELO-TV in Sioux Falls, SD, and now running his own venture at www.weathertheoutdoors.com.
Each week on the last day before rosters lock, Barlow appears on "Fantasy Fishing Insider" to give a customized weather forecast for the week's tournament. And by "customized," I mean tailor-made by a bass fishermen, forbass fishermen about how the weather at the tournament venue will likely affect bass fishing.
That's a pretty sharp tool for helping set your fantasy fishing roster -- if his forecasts are accurate. Let's check the podcast tape and check Barlow's custom Bassmaster Classic forecast for Day 1 and compare it to how we now know which way the wind blowed on Friday.
"We're going to be see temperatures warming up a little bit over the next couple days … likely into the 70s and 80s," Barlow said Wednesday in our podcast interview.
That happened.
"The weather is weird here -- it's going to be record highs the day before the tournament," Bassmasters TV host Tommy Sanders reported Thursday on bassmaster.com.
Barlow forecasted also that those high temps would then suddenly plummet -- a dreaded cold front was bearing down on Shreveport.
"A pretty decent cold front streams right on through for Day 1 of the tournament. …" Barlow told me on the podcast Wednesday.
"From Thursday to Friday, going into the first day of the event, we're looking at a 20-degree temperature drop. … From a high in the mid 80s to high in the mid 60s. It's going to get cool. … Certainly cooler than they're used to [in Louisiana this time of year] and I'm sure it will throw off any fish patterns that guys have set up here [in practice] as temperatures have been climbing. It's definitely a major curveball."
That happened too.
"After days of unseasonably warm weather, Friday dawned at the Red River South Marina with air temperatures of about 50 degrees," Deb Johnson reported Friday morning at bassmaster.com
And that weather's effect on the bite?
Barlow predicted "there might be a little window there early Friday where guys can get on some big fish."
Nailed it.
Bassmaster.com writer Kyle Carter reported this in the Day 1 Classic live blog:
And BassGold's Jay Kumar reported on yesterday on bassmaster.com's live feed from the Classic War Room that the best hour Friday for number of catches was 10:30 to 11:30 and the best hour for quality catches was 11:30 to 12:30.
So, what did Barlow forecast for today and tomorrow? Here are some highlights from our podcast interview:
1. Temps, conditions will stabilize
"It does look like it stays pretty stable as we go through the tournament, so if guys can get on some fish … Friday and Saturday, they might set themselves up to kind of figure out a pattern by Sunday."
2. Daytime highs in the 60s
"Lows are going to be in the 30s -- mid to upper 30s. And daytime highs in the mid-60s.
3. High, bluebird skies, no wind, no rain
"Lots of sunshine -- so it looks like we should have pretty bright skies."
"Winds do die down into Saturday and Sunday."
"Typically, when you have cooler air, it doesn't have quite as much moisture. …"
"I was thinking [last week] they might get hit with a real soaker over the weekend, but it looks [now] like weather will be pretty [dry]."
4. Water temps not likely to reach 60 again
"I think they may get [to 60] Thursday, with temperatures really warming up as we lead into the event. … Maybe early Friday morning there may be some fish up shallow before they realize that it's cooler."
"Clear skies lead to very cool nights as well, which is what we're going to be seeing. … With temperatures in the mid-30s, water temperatures are going to be dropping pretty quickly as well. …
"When you have the sunshine up during the day that can do a fair job of keeping at least the surface water temperatures a little warmer. It's when we lose that sun -- lose that solar presence overnight. … It really allows the water temperatures to drop."
Today's local, national forecast
As the sun rose at about 6;45 a.m. today, the Weather Underground temperature reading for Shreveport was 33.8 degrees, with clear skies and no wind. The wunderground.com forecast for today calls for partly cloudy skies, a high of 63, and winds less than 5 mph. The barometric pressure is falling slightly.
Here is Shreveport TV station KSLA-12's weather forecast for today.
Sunday's Weather Underground forecast calls for partly cloudy skies, a high of 63 and South-South East winds of 5- to 10 mph.
One Classic competitor that might want to take note of the forecast -- and believe it -- is Gerald Swindle, who appears to have gone into Day 1 of competition thinking he, like Bob Dylan, DIDN'T need a weatherman to tell him which way the wind blows.
"He was giving it pretty good to the local weather guy down there in Shreveport," Barlow said, referencing a video on bssmaster.com. "I think he's in a bit of denial. … He wasn't believing the forecast -- that temperatures were going to cool off. We'll see where that gets him."
Swindle on Friday weighed 8 pounds, 12 ounces of bass, putting him in 40th place out of 49 anglers, 9 pounds and 1 ounce behind leader Keith Poche.
"I always say it's hard to trust a weatherman," Barlow said. "But the minute you bet against us, we'll bite ya."
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Bass Utopia contributor "Web Guy Greg" Huff interviewed Tony Barlow, Greg Hackney and Keith Alan for our "Fantasy Fishing Insider" podcast. You can listen to the interview here or in the player below.












